The United States-based CAVA Group Inc operates fast-expanding restaurant venues which serve Mediterranean-style food choices. Since its establishment in 2006 CAVA operates from Washington D.C. with additional service offerings that extend into grocery stores through its dips, spreads and dressing range.
Online and mobile ordering platforms have been adopted by the company which led to addition of new customers. Since the company went public on the NYSE under CAVA as its stock symbol in 2023 it has demonstrated substantial expansion.
Company Financials
According to financial reports from February 2025 the market value of CAVA shares amounts to $11.28 billion. During its latest trailing twelve-month period CAVA generated $913.49 million in revenue and attained $53.75 million in net profit. While the current PE ratio reaches 222.35 due to strong investor optimism this value is lowered to 174.86 through anticipated future earnings growth.
The strong profitability of CAVA indicates by its 37.59% gross margin and 4.76% operating margin. The company achieved substantial margin growth as its net profit margin advanced from 1.82% in 2023 up to 5.88% in 2024. The company has converted its cash flow performance to a positive figure as it currently produces $43.56 million in free cash flow.
Short-Term Analysis (2025-2030)
Stock Performance and Forecasts
The stock value of CAVA reached $98.39 on February 25 2025 but experienced a decline of 5.59 percent. Analysts predict a 43.29% potential increase in CAVA stock value to $141.08 based on their 12-month forecast. The majority of analyst ratings suggest buying CAVA stock which shows widespread confidence in the company and its potential.
Revenue and Earnings Growth Projections
The revenue projections for CAVA indicate an upcoming expansion from $980.65 million in 2024 to $1.21 billion by 2025 which represents a 23.59% increase. The company should maintain its high growth trajectory until 2030.
- Forecasted revenue for 2026 will reach $1.48 billion while EPS is predicted at $0.83.
- The business expects $1.76 billion revenue combined with $1.38 EPS in 2027.
- For the year 2028 the company expects revenue of $2.07 billion while EPS reaches $1.85.
- Realizing continuous growth patterns would push revenue to exceed $2.5 billion during 2029.
- The growth rates of the market will stabilize during 2030 as market saturation becomes visible.
The company’s future PE ratio will drop from 191.23 in 2024 to 53.39 by 2029 due to improving earnings performance combined with market confidence building.
Operational Growth Indicators
The financial record displays significant expansion throughout its asset database. The business accumulated $1.08 billion in total company assets during 2024 starting from its initial value of $983.76 million in 2023. The company achieved better financial stability through its expansion of cash and equivalent holdings which reached $367.16 million. CAVA invested $677.29 million in property, plant and equipment to show its dedication for aggressive growth in business expansion.
Long-Term Analysis (2030–2050)
The company has a strong long-term growth prospect that depends on their restaurant expansion and retail grocery penetration strategy. The health-minded customer preferences of today position CAVA to succeed in maintaining its market standing into the future.
After 2030 the company may experience slower growth because market competition between domestic and international players could reach saturation point. The path to enduring success for CAVA depends heavily on upholding brand commitment and expanding their product lines and implementing food sector tech developments.
Stock Balance Sheet Analysis
The balance sheet data demonstrates CAVA maintains good financial position through assets that surpass $1 billion. The company achieved greater shareholder equity in 2024 totaling $616.44 million compared to $570.8 million from the year before. The elimination of all long-term debt signals enhanced financial health for the company.
- The financial stability indicators demonstrate that the organization stands on a strong position.
- The rise in $393.26 million of total current assets demonstrates positive financial liquidity.
- The elimination of long-term debt makes the company less prone to financial risks.
- Plantiffs should expect improved liquidity performance in the upcoming period despite the short-term minor loss in net cash per share figures.
The business outlook for CAVA indicates promising revenue expansion throughout 2025 and 2030. Analytical projections have confirmed positive stock growth prospects because of the company’s basic operational strengths. The financial indicators indicate that CAVA Restaurant Holdings possesses the elements for fast-casual dining leadership by 2030 provided it executes effective expansion strategies and market responsive initiatives.
Market Cap History Analysis
Since its IPO launch on June 15 of 2023 CAVA Group, Inc. witnessed an outstanding market capitalization growth. Since its initial $2.45 billion market valuation in 2023 CAVA Group has reached $11.28 billion on February 25 2025. The increase in market capitalization since the IPO reached 360.33% over six months which produced an annual compound growth rate of 146.75%. The company has built impressive market dominance during its rapid expansion which attracted strong investor trust.
This growth wasn’t linear. The company’s market capital expanded to $4.88 billion after its June 2023 initial public offering with a double impact on its first half of public trading. The market value of CAVA reached $12.92 billion by year’s end which demonstrated a breathtaking 164,68% increase from the preceding financial year. By February 2025 the market cap achieved a slight decrease reaching $12.37 billion while still maintaining a 4.32% reduction from its peak point but revealing continuous robust growth.
Markets perform like an upward-moving rollercoaster even though they experience occasional declines according to this behavioral pattern. The business received strong support from both post-IPO momentum and robust revenue growth following its initial public offering but the recent market shifts seem to illustrate investor adjustments and profit selling.
Last 10-Year History and Analysis with Table
The lack of ten-year trading data becomes an issue because CAVA Group made its public debut in mid-2023. However, the rapid growth since its IPO offers valuable insights.
| Year | Market Cap (in $B) | % Change |
|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 4.88 | +99.27% |
| 2024 | 12.92 | +164.68% |
| 2025 | 12.37 | -4.32% |
An analysis of the provided data reveals that CAVA experienced explosive growth along with minor market setbacks during the early stages of 2025 as a result of market adjustments. Market evaluation following an IPO typically leads to volatility in new public companies.
Comparison with Other Stocks
The large size gap between CAVA and industry leaders exists although market development signals promising results for this company. Here’s how CAVA stacks up:
| Company | Market Cap (in $B) |
| Amazon.com | 2,295.26 |
| Tesla | 1,086.54 |
| The Home Depot | 382.74 |
| McDonald’s | 218.43 |
| CAVA Group | 11.28 |
The market capitalization of CAVA remains lower than its competitors but it demonstrates superior percentage-based growth than these established food service providers. Since its inception CAVA achieved a nearly complete growth of its market capitalization that indicates substantial development potential while facing elevated volatility risks.
Stock Recommendation of Analysts
The professional analysis about CAVA shows positive evaluation. Experts predict the stock value will reach $141.08 per share which would create a 43.83% profit margin from the current rate of $98.45. The financial community shows strong Buy sentiment towards CAVA which finds support in this following table.
| Analyst Count | Consensus Rating | Price Target (in $) | Potential Upside (%) |
| 13 | Buy | 141.08 | 43.83 |
Analysts maintain optimistic projections for GTEK Ceramics Future due to estimated revenue growth of 22.16% and EPS growth of 50.58% during the following five years. Market capitalization growth along with revenue expansion strengthens the existing optimistic market sentiment.
Indicator-Based Stock Analysis
The technical indicators produce conflicting signals. An RSI value of 25.22 indicates that CAVA might be facing oversold circumstances. A value of Relative Strength Index at 30 or lower indicates possible potential to buy assets. Most moving averages at this time indicate that investors should sell their assets.
- The price movement shows bearish indications because the 50-day moving average stands at $122.76 and the 200-day moving average reaches $113.01.
- Bearish trends exist according to Momentum indicators with the MACD level (-4.81) and Awesome Oscillator (-12.41).
Although several temporary negative indicators exist the fundamental business growth and increasing market value demonstrate sustained potential for the company. This creates a scenario where short-term volatility could offer entry points for long-term investors.
Should I Buy This Stock?
The decision to purchase CAVA Group stock depends on the strategy you have chosen for investing. Long-term investors would find CAVA presents a valuable investment chance. The company achieved a remarkable 34.05% increase in revenue during 1 year while its stock market value expanded to 360% above original IPO value demonstrating robust growth opportunities.
Stock ownership includes risks that are associated with purchasing CAVA Group. The stock stands at very high market valuation since its PE ratio reaches 222.35 and its forward PE hits 174.86. Market participants show strong confidence in CAVA’s future expansion because they hold expensive stock values despite possibly unrealized negative performance.
Technical indicators signal that short-term traders need to exercise caution when trading the stock. The majority of moving averages show bearish signals while RSI indicator positions themselves near overbearing zones which imply traders should observe upward market trends to enter trades.
The stock presents an growth-oriented investment yet investors should handle its potential market shifts with patience before considering a purchase. People seeking stability should watch the stock for better technical signals before considering any investment move.
2025 Price Forecast Table
| Month | Minimum Price | Maximum Price | % Change from Current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan | $94.15 | $108.40 | -5.00% to +9.38% |
| Feb | $88.30 | $104.75 | -10.90% to +5.70% |
| Mar | $92.60 | $112.30 | -6.56% to +13.32% |
| Apr | $96.85 | $118.65 | -2.27% to +19.73% |
| May | $91.50 | $113.25 | -7.67% to +14.28% |
| Jun | $97.40 | $121.80 | -1.72% to +22.91% |
| Jul | $104.25 | $126.40 | +5.20% to +27.55% |
| Aug | $101.10 | $122.35 | +2.02% to +23.46% |
| Sep | $94.30 | $116.70 | -4.84% to +17.76% |
| Oct | $99.85 | $124.50 | +0.76% to +25.63% |
| Nov | $107.65 | $131.20 | +8.63% to +32.39% |
| Dec | $112.35 | $135.80 | +13.37% to +36.93% |
2026 Price Forecast Table
| Month | Minimum Price | Maximum Price | % Change from Current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan | $108.60 | $138.95 | +9.59% to +40.21% |
| Feb | $102.15 | $129.40 | +3.08% to +30.57% |
| Mar | $109.80 | $136.75 | +10.80% to +38.00% |
| Apr | $115.30 | $142.60 | +16.35% to +43.89% |
| May | $108.90 | $134.30 | +9.89% to +35.52% |
| Jun | $113.55 | $141.20 | +14.58% to +42.48% |
| Jul | $119.80 | $147.35 | +20.89% to +48.69% |
| Aug | $115.20 | $140.80 | +16.25% to +42.08% |
| Sep | $104.75 | $132.50 | +5.70% to +33.70% |
| Oct | $111.30 | $139.60 | +12.31% to +40.87% |
| Nov | $118.75 | $146.30 | +19.83% to +47.63% |
| Dec | $123.40 | $151.85 | +24.52% to +53.23% |
2027 Price Forecast Table
| Month | Minimum Price | Maximum Price | % Change from Current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan | $127.85 | $155.40 | +29.01% to +56.81% |
| Feb | $119.60 | $147.65 | +20.69% to +48.99% |
| Mar | $124.80 | $153.20 | +25.93% to +54.59% |
| Apr | $131.40 | $159.75 | +32.59% to +61.20% |
| May | $126.90 | $151.40 | +28.05% to +52.77% |
| Jun | $133.50 | $158.60 | +34.71% to +60.04% |
| Jul | $128.20 | $152.35 | +29.36% to +53.73% |
| Aug | $121.75 | $145.80 | +22.86% to +47.12% |
| Sep | $113.25 | $137.60 | +14.28% to +38.85% |
| Oct | $120.40 | $144.90 | +21.49% to +46.22% |
| Nov | $127.90 | $153.25 | +29.06% to +54.64% |
| Dec | $134.75 | $160.30 | +35.97% to +61.76% |
2028 Price Forecast Table
| Month | Minimum Price | Maximum Price | % Change from Current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan | $139.20 | $165.35 | +40.46% to +66.85% |
| Feb | $131.60 | $157.90 | +32.79% to +59.33% |
| Mar | $138.40 | $164.75 | +39.66% to +66.25% |
| Apr | $145.60 | $172.35 | +46.92% to +73.92% |
| May | $138.20 | $164.60 | +39.46% to +66.09% |
| Jun | $129.75 | $156.30 | +30.93% to +57.72% |
| Jul | $137.85 | $163.90 | +39.10% to +65.39% |
| Aug | $144.50 | $170.20 | +45.81% to +71.75% |
| Sep | $136.90 | $162.45 | +38.14% to +63.93% |
| Oct | $129.30 | $154.80 | +30.47% to +56.21% |
| Nov | $137.40 | $163.20 | +38.65% to +64.68% |
| Dec | $145.65 | $171.80 | +46.97% to +73.36% |
2029 Price Forecast Table
| Month | Minimum Price | Maximum Price | % Change from Current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan | $150.20 | $176.85 | +51.56% to +78.46% |
| Feb | $142.35 | $169.40 | +43.64% to +70.94% |
| Mar | $135.60 | $162.70 | +36.83% to +64.18% |
| Apr | $143.25 | $170.50 | +44.55% to +72.05% |
| May | $151.40 | $178.90 | +52.77% to +80.52% |
| Jun | $147.80 | $174.35 | +49.14% to +75.93% |
| Jul | $140.25 | $166.90 | +41.52% to +68.42% |
| Aug | $148.75 | $175.30 | +50.10% to +76.89% |
| Sep | $156.30 | $183.45 | +57.72% to +85.12% |
| Oct | $149.60 | $176.25 | +50.96% to +77.85% |
| Nov | $157.40 | $184.90 | +58.83% to +86.58% |
| Dec | $151.85 | $179.40 | +53.23% to +81.03% |
2030 Price Forecast Table
| Month | Minimum Price | Maximum Price | % Change from Current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan | $157.25 | $185.60 | +58.68% to +87.29% |
| Feb | $149.30 | $177.85 | +50.66% to +79.47% |
| Mar | $156.80 | $184.30 | +58.22% to +85.97% |
| Apr | $164.20 | $191.75 | +65.69% to +93.49% |
| May | $158.90 | $186.45 | +60.34% to +88.14% |
| Jun | $152.60 | $180.20 | +53.99% to +81.84% |
| Jul | $159.80 | $187.40 | +61.25% to +89.10% |
| Aug | $167.50 | $195.20 | +68.93% to +96.97% |
| Sep | $161.90 | $189.35 | +63.37% to +91.07% |
| Oct | $155.40 | $183.70 | +56.81% to +85.37% |
| Nov | $163.20 | $191.60 | +64.68% to +93.34% |
| Dec | $169.45 | $197.80 | +71.00% to +99.60% |
How to Buy this Stock
- Building your position through time would be more effective by using dollar-cost averaging
- You should evaluate technical support areas or price drops in the market to establish entry points.
- Price targets need to be established before buying an initial stake or subsequent stake of stock
Your overall portfolio risk should not exceed 1-3% for this stock which demonstrates high market volatility
- A “core and explore” method with a minimal core stake should be adopted while making select additional investments.
- Use limit orders instead of market orders to determine your entry prices exactly
- To minimize loss potential investors should implement stop-loss orders in their trading strategy.
- Implement cash-secured put options as a long-term buying strategy to acquire stocks at favorable prices
- Restaurant stock performance depends significantly on identical-store sales growth.
- Store-level operating margins and trends
- New store opening pace and performance of new locations
- Customer frequency and average ticket size
- Clients should establish specific price levels which would activate part or full exit strategies.
- The company needs to regularly evaluate its business position relative to competition as well as its ongoing growth path
- When fundamental indicators worsen investors should minimize their investment size in respective assets.
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